Weather forecast for Charles’ Pinpoint – Saturday 15th January

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. (WCTV) – Saturday morning was a bit chilly with temperatures ranging from the mid-30s to near 40s starting at 8 a.m. in the viewing area. Cloud cover is expected to increase during the day as a storm system over the southeastern United States advances eastward. It will bring winter precipitation to parts of the south, but only rain is expected in Big Bend and South Georgia.

GRAF model release (3 km) valid from 8 p.m. on Saturday January 15, as a storm system is expected to cross the south over the weekend. The chance of rain will increase from west to east beginning in the late afternoon and early evening near the Apalachicola and Chattahoochee rivers.(WCTV Pinpoint Weather)

The chance of rain is expected to increase from late afternoon to early evening near the Apalachicola River and the Georgia-Alabama line. Chances of rain will increase eastward overnight. The chance of rain will be 30%, overall, for Saturday with highs in the upper 60s to near 70. The chance of rain will increase to nearly 90% Saturday evening through early Sunday morning with lows of nearly 50 in the mid-1950s.

Southwest Big Bend and coastal areas were placed at low risk for severe weather,...
Southwest Big Bend and coastal areas were placed under a low risk of severe weather, primarily from early to late Saturday evening. Isolated tornadoes and damaging wind gusts will be possible with stronger thunderstorms.(WCTV Pinpoint Weather)

As rain approaches Saturday evening, a low threat of severe weather will also exist. A level 2 (out of 5) severe weather hazard was in place for Franklin County and southern Liberty County, according to the Storm Prediction Center. A Level 1 risk has been placed for west of Big Bend and southeast across the Big Bend coast. Damaging wind gusts and an isolated tornado threat will exist. Air movement (wind shear and kinematics) will be impressive, but a limiting factor will be instability and convective energy. The serious threat will exist mainly for the early and late evening hours.

It could still rain near the I-75 corridor Sunday morning, but only a slight chance of a stray shower will be in place for the rest of the day as the low-lying surface envelopes the low-level humidity to the rear of it. . Like Saturday evening, winter precipitation should remain north of the observation area. It will be cool and cold on Sunday with little sky clearance. Highs will be near 60 on Sunday, but the wind will make it feel colder.

Lows near freezing are possible for the first three nights of the week as the high is expected to move into a streak of cooler, drier air across the region. High temperatures Monday through Tuesday will hover around 60.

Lows will be near zero for at least three nights at the start of the new workweek after a powerful...
Lows will be near zero for at least three nights at the start of the new work week after a powerful cold front moved through the region on Sunday.(Charles Roop/WCTV Pinpoint Weather)

Guidance models hinted that another storm system would move into the eastern United States by the end of the week. The chance of rain will increase on Sunday as the cold front approaches on Thursday. The chance of rain, so far, was 40% Thursday with a slim chance of an outgoing shower Friday morning. Highs will be back to near 60 on Friday with partly cloudy skies.

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Dale D. Schrum