The reality of Australia’s bad weather is about to be laid bare in a chilling new forecast map.
After the confirmation of a third consecutive La Nina last month, the predictions have only gotten worse. Now an overall picture is emerging that could mean floods, heat waves and tropical cyclones from October to April 2023.
The areas most likely to experience flooding from so much rain are far north and south-east Queensland, western Sydney and coastal New South Wales.
A map of forecast rainfall from October to April showed the very high likelihood of above-average rainfall for the coming months, particularly in north and south-east Queensland and New South Wales. Source: Sky News Weather
Much of Australia’s east coast is expected to experience high winds reaching gale force in places from Thursday for several days
Sydney faces a wet weekend with the heaviest falls coming Friday and Saturday
The map, produced by the Sky News weather team, showed an over 70 per cent chance of ‘above median’ rainfall for south-east Queensland, large parts of NSW and the east from Victoria from October to April 2023.
The Bureau of Meteorology’s forecast for the three months to Christmas is similar, if not worse, particularly for the NSW coast and far north Queensland.
It predicts a 75-80% chance of above-median precipitation in these regions.
The BoM Climate Outlook for October to January predicts a “wetter than average October to December, likely for the eastern half of Australia”.
High wind warnings are in effect for much of the east coast, with high wind warnings in progress for the Gold Coast region (pictured, surfers prepare to paddle at Snapper Rocks on the Gold Coast)
Sky News meteorologist Alison Osborne has predicted a ‘colossal’ amount of rain for the eastern states next week (pictured by Ms Osborne)
“Much of eastern Queensland, large parts of New South Wales and Victoria and eastern Tasmania are more than twice as likely to experience unusually high rainfall from October to December (in the wettest 20% of all such periods from 1981 to 2018),’ a BoM statement said.
Southeast Queensland and especially Sydney are expected to get a glimpse of the rain to come this weekend and over the coming week, with dangerous winds all along the eastern seaboard.
Sky News meteorologist Alison Osborne has predicted a ‘colossal’ amount of rain for the eastern states next week, reaching up to 150mm in places.
South East Queensland and especially Sydney are expected to get a glimpse of the rain to come this weekend and over the coming week
The Bureau of Meteorology has confirmed a third consecutive La Nina weather system for this summer
Sydney has a 95 per cent chance of rain on Friday and Saturday, although the showers will ease on Sunday and Monday then return on Wednesday.
NSW has several weather warnings in place, including high winds and dangerous surf alerts for the Byron Coast and North Central Coast on Thursday and Friday.
“People should consider staying out of the water and avoiding walking near areas exposed to waves,” the Bureau of Meteorology warned.
Rock anglers are also warned against fishing from exposed rock platforms and advised instead to “seek a safe place out of the waves”.
A strong wind warning is in place from the Newcastle area to the Bateman Bay coast for Thursday and Friday.
Brisbane and the Gold Coast will see plenty of sunshine on Friday but rain throughout the weekend with the heaviest falls coming on Sunday.
The Gold Coast is also subject to a gale force wind warning for Friday, while the Sunshine Coast will experience strong winds.
The Bureau of Meteorology is predicting a broad band of rain to soak up much of the NSW coast to southeast Queensland this weekend
Much of southeast Queensland can expect rain to continue for most of next week, although heavy falls are not expected.
Victoria could also see rain in the middle of next week.
Western Australia is expected to enjoy sunny weather, with strong winds expected south of Exmouth to Geraldton and beyond.
The BoM also forecast below average rainfall for Western Australia for November and December.
FIVE-DAY FORECASTS FOR MAJOR CITIES
Thursday: Cloudy. Max 17.
Friday: Partly cloudy. Min 9 Max 19.
Saturday: Partly cloudy. Min 9 Max 19.
Sunday: Partly cloudy. Min 7 Max 19.
Monday: Partly cloudy. Min 9 Max 21.
Thursday: Sunny. Max 29.
Friday: Sunny. Min 15 Max 29.
Sunny Saturday. Min 14 Max 28.
Sunday: Partly cloudy. Min 12 Max 25.
Monday: Partly cloudy. Min 11 Max 24.
Thursday: Partly cloudy. Max 18.
Friday: Partly cloudy. Min 10 Max 19.
Saturday: Rather sunny. Min 10 Max 21.
Sunday: Fairly sunny. Min 11 Max 22.
Monday: Partly cloudy. Min 14 Max 23.
Thursday: Decrease in showers. Max 12.
Friday: Partly cloudy. Min 7 Max 14.
Saturday: Rather sunny. Min 4 Max 16.
Sunday: Partly cloudy. Min 6 Max 17.
Monday: Partly cloudy. Min 6 Max 17.
Thursday: Showers. Max 19.
Friday: increasing showers. Min 14 Max 19.
Saturday: Showers. Min 13 Max 18.
Sunday: The showers subside. Min 12 Max 19.
Monday: Poss shower. Min 11 Max 20.
Thursday: Sunny. Max 26.
Friday: Sunny. Min 14 Max 26.
Saturday: Shower. Min 15 Max 25.
Sunday: Showers. Min 14 Max 25.
Monday: Shower. Min 13 Max 23.
Thursday: Partly cloudy. Max 18.
Friday: Shower possible. Min 5 Max 16.
Saturday: Showers. Min 6 Max 14.
Sunday: Poss shower. Min 3 Max 17.
Monday: Partly cloudy. Min 3 Max 18.
Thursday: Showers, thunderstorm. Max 33.
Friday: Poss shower. Min 25 Max 35.
Saturday: Showers. Min 26 Max 34.
Sunday: Showers, thunderstorm possible. Min 25 Max 32.
Monday: Shower. Min 25 Max 32.