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PANAMA CITY, Fla. WEATHER (WMBB) – A cold front approaches our central time zone counties Thursday evening and is expected to be accompanied by a semi-organized/broken line of showers and storms. The prefrontal environment is going to be quite warm and humid, with strong wind fields characterized by dew points in the 60s, around 50 knots of bulk shear, low level jet over 40 knots and d seasonally high precipitable water (1.4 -1.8″ range). These factors favor scattered showers and thunderstorms, some of which could become heavy to severe. However, the combination of better upper level support to our north and limited instability (particularly overnight) limits the overall severe potential. For this reason, locations generally along/northwest of the Tifton line in Panama City remain at marginal risk (level 1/5) in the CPS Day 2 outlook. The main threats are destructive winds. The best window of opportunity for severe weather appears to be late Thursday night around dawn, when the chance of rain is understandably highest.
Much cooler and drier air arrives on Friday evening, resulting in a gradual clearing of the sky from west to east. Low temperatures drop into the 30s from more persistent cold air advection northwest of the tri-state border, while the remaining locations only peak in the 40s.